When people start a weight loss diet, understandably they'd like to know how long they might be on their journey for. There are ways to estimate how long it may take to lose a certain amount of weight, but as our bodies are unique, everyone's journey will be different.
Factors that can affect speed of weight lossinclude age, gender, diet history and dietary approach – to name a few.
To help you know what is 'normal' when it comes to a healthy rate of weight loss, I've highlighted some important factors below.
As we know, weight loss comes down to creating a calorie deficit. How much you lose in a week will depend, in part, on how big a calorie deficit you've created. It's generally accepted that 1lb of fat contains 3,500 calories, so to lose a pound of fat you need to create a deficit of 3,500 calories. This equates to 500 calories per day over seven days (one week). So, on this basis, if you are aiming for 2lbs loss per week, you'd need to create a 7,000 calorie deficit – or 1,000 calories per day. This is the calculation we use to set your Nutracheck calorie target, to achieve weight loss at the weekly rate you select.
This is a theoretical calculation which is a very useful guide to estimate rate of weight loss, but again – everyone is individual, and this calculation also depends on your starting weight. Working out how many calories someone needs to maintain their weight can only be an estimation when using formulas, so when the calorie deficit is applied, we need to keep in mind that the predicted rate of weight loss is only a guide. As we lose weight, our energy requirements also reduce, so the deficit we're creating won't be as large over time, unless we regularly adjust our calorie target. A good initial rate is 2lbs per week, but it is quite normal that this may slow down the closer you get to your goal.
General guidance is that a 1-2lbs (0.5-1kg) weight loss per week is a good rate for long-term, sustainable results. It's common to experience larger losses early on due to a loss of water in the body, but ideally your weekly rate should be around this suggested amount. If you reach a time in your journey when you feel things should be going faster, it is a useful check to work out your average weight loss per week over the time you have been on your journey (take your total weight lost and divide by how many weeks you have been going). More often than not, you will find it is right on track with the 1-2lbs ideal rate!
Of course it's possible to lose weight faster than 2lbs per week, but it requires a drastic reduction in calorie intake. For most people, creating a calorie deficit large enough to achieve this on an ongoing basis, would be very diffcult to maintain. In the long run, this is incredibly hard to stick to and may potentially lead to nutritional deficiencies.
A question often asked is 'does losing weight faster than 2lbs per week mean there is a bigger risk of gaining the weight back?' There is research to show that regardless of whether a certain amount of weight is lost over a few weeks or several weeks, in the long term, weight regain is the same regardless [1]. But what we do observe in the cases where weight loss is fast is that more fat-free mass – essentially muscle mass – tends to be lost, and this does have an impact on weight regain [1].
Muscle mass plays a crucial role in a healthy metabolism, as muscle burns more calories at rest than fat – so the more lean muscle we have, the more calories we use each day. Losing muscle mass during rapid weight loss can have a lasting effect on our metabolic rate, making weight loss and weight maintenance harder in the long term.
Losing weight gradually, by making a modest calorie reduction you can stick to, is a far better long-term solution than going on a crash diet. The 'lose it quick' mentality can lead to unhealthy eating behaviours, and really doesn't teach anything about how to create a healthy lifestyle longer term. The ideal is to make diet and lifestyle changes you can stick with, and these will then become healthier habits that you do without thinking – rather than viewing a 'diet' as a temporary solution and going back to old habits once you've hit your goal.
Even if we follow the exact same diet and calorie intake – our rate of weight loss is governed by other factors. Some of these we have no control over, but there are others we do. And we can make some positive impact.
Weight loss is not an exact science, it's important to remember that your journey may not look like a perfect downwards-sloping graph. Most people experience blips and sometimes pauses, but if you maintain a moderate calorie deficit and keep going, your weight loss trajectory will be downwards. Eat well for your body, and move as much as you can. Don't compare yourself to others, everyone's journey is different. Focus on your success and progress. Be consistent and you can expect long-term success.
Nutritionist Beth Furness (ANutr), holding a BSc in Nutrition and Health, is deeply dedicated to applying evidence-based knowledge to all aspects of nutrition. Her passion lies in fostering healthy relationships with food, ensuring that everyone maintains a balanced and sustainable approach to nutrition.
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